Predictive Modeling to Forecast Student Outcomes and Drive Effective Interventions in Online Community College Courses

Vernon C. Smith, Adam Lange, Daniel R. Huston


Community colleges continue to experience tremendous growth in online courses. This growth reflects the need to increase the numbers of students who complete certificates or degrees. Retaining online students, not to mention assuring their success, is a challenge that must be addressed through practical institutional responses. By leveraging the huge volumes of existing student information, higher education institutions can build statistical models, or learning analytics, to forecast student outcomes. This is a case study from a community college utilizing learning analytics and the development of predictive models to identify at-risk students based on dozens of key variables.


Online Learning;Learning Analytics;Predictive Modeling;Community Colleges;Risk Levels for Online Students;Faculty


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